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2024-12-13 07:55:42

CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.Japan's Nikkei average index futures rose 0.23%.The overall scale of bonus ETF exceeds 71.1 billion yuan, leading the products to exceed 20 billion yuan. As the largest dividend ETF at present, on December 6, the scale of Huatai Bairui bonus ETF rose to 20.121 billion yuan, becoming the first dividend ETF to exceed 20 billion yuan. According to the data, the product takes the dividend index of Shanghai Stock Exchange as the benchmark for performance comparison and adopts the investment strategy of complete replication method. As of December 9, the product had a floating profit of 18.21% during the year. According to the reporter's incomplete statistics, as of December 9, 13 bonus ETFs have been newly established this year (excluding QDII funds, Hong Kong Stock Connect and other overseas products). On the whole, there are 37 bonus ETF products with a market size of 71.185 billion yuan. In the current market environment, dividend investment strategy has strong appeal. (Securities Daily)


The initial strength of inter-bank spot bonds was obvious. The yield of active bonds of 7-year and 10-year treasury bonds dropped by 3.5bp. The yield of active bonds of 7-year and 10-year treasury bonds fell by 3.5bp, the yield of 7-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 18" reported 1.725%, and the yield of 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" hit 1.87%, all hitting record lows. The yield of 30-year "24 Special Treasury Bond 06" dropped by 3.1bp to 2.079%, the lowest since the end of February 2005.In November, the annual rate of M2 money supply in Japan was 1.2%, and the previous value was 1.20%. M3 annual rate is 0.7%.Japan's Nikkei average index futures rose 0.23%.


Wuliangye Group signed a memorandum of cooperation with Gan Lu Wine Group of Chile, and on December 5th, Wuliangye Group signed a memorandum of cooperation with Gan Lu Wine Group of Chile. Chile Gan Lu Wine Group is the largest wine production group in South America, with its brand footprints in Chile, Argentina and the United States, and its sales covering 147 countries and regions around the world. This signing indicates that Wuliangye and Gan Lu Wine Group of Chile have further established a long-term and stable partnership.Five A-shares registered today, among which Longyan Group, Juyi Technology and China CITIC Bank have the strongest dividends. According to the statistics of the equity distribution plan of listed companies, five A-shares registered today. Among them, 5 shares are intended to pay dividends. In terms of dividends, date of record, where 5 stocks pay dividends, is December 10th. Longbai Group, Juyi Technology and China CITIC Bank have the strongest dividends, with dividends of 3 yuan, 2.2 yuan and 1.83 yuan for every 10 shares. In addition, there are 7 shares that have made dividend plans, among which Radio and Television Metrology, Cube Pharmaceutical and Hefei Hi-Tech have the strongest dividend plans, and every 10 shares will be distributed to 2.5 yuan, 2 yuan and 1 yuan respectively.Japan's Minister of Economic Regeneration Ryosuka Akazawa: (When asked about the revised GDP data in the third quarter) Although we have not got rid of deflation, a virtuous circle of wage increase and price transmission has begun.

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